Elite Networks, Policy Belief Formation and Agricultural Policy Design in Malawi: Application of a CGPE approach

Project: Political Economy Analyses of Agricultural Reforms in Malawi: Application of a CGPE Approach
Contact: Christian Henning and Eva Krampe
Start: 09/2010
End: 09/2011
Finance: IFPRI/CAU
Content: In this project linked ABM-Computable General Political Economy Equilibrium model will be developed and calibrated for Malawi. In particular, the model will incorporate relevant policy goals and instruments as specified in the ASWAp. The CGPE approach integrates a classical CGE model with a political decision-making-model and a political belief formation model. The decision-making model corresponds to a modified Baron-Ferejohn legislative bargaining model as outlined in Henning (2008), while the belief formation model corresponds to an agent-based approach as outlined in Henning et al. (2010). Based on the calibrated CGPE model different simulation scenarios will be run including a scenario corresponding to changes in economic framework conditions and a scenario corresponding to changed policy network structures.
Region: Malawi
Keywords: CGPE, political feasibility, agricultural policy reform in Malawi, CAADP
Approach: Calibration of the political decision-making module and the political belief formation module based on empirical data collected within the policy network survey undertaken in 2010.
Data acquisition: Policy network survey