Rural Migration and Rural Development

Project: ADVANCED-EVAL
Contact: Nana Zarnekow
Start: 08/2007
End: 2011
Finance: EU-Projekt ADVANCED-EVAL
Content: Investigation of determinants of regional migration decisions on the micro-level, recognizing institutional and economic as well as individual factors. Special attention is given to the influence of social networks and the importance of man-made and natural amenities. From a political advice perspective the impact of public goods is recognized in detail. Furthermore, it is tested for preference heterogeneity of the investigated decision making units. Beyond understanding determinants of migration the impact of net-in or out-migration on rural development, i.e. the local economy is focused. To this micro-migration models are integrated into a Micro-Macro linked ABM-CGE approach.
Region: Poland and Slovakia
Publications:
  • Nana Zarnekow and Christian H. C. A. Henning: Networks as Determinants of Rural Migration.
    Paper presented at the 118th Seminar of the European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE) 'Rural development: governance, policy design and delivery' in Ljubljana, Slovenia
  • Christian H. C. A. Henning and Nana Zarnekow: Modeling Rural Migration Policies in a Micro-macro Linked General Equilibrium Framework.
    ADVANCED-EVAL Working Paper Series WP5-6, Institute of Agricultural Economics, University of Kiel, Germany 2009
  • Christian H. C. A. Henning and Nana Zarnekow: Modelling Rural Migration Policies in a Micro-macro Linked General Equilibrium Framework.
  • Nana Zarnekow and Christian H. C. A. Henning and Peter Kaufmann: Networks as Determinants of Rural Migration.
Keywords: Migration, Rural Development, Social Networks, Amenities, Latent Class Model, ABM-CGE
Approach: Area of research are ‘Institutional & Computational Economics, Networks & Political Performance’; theoretically a microlevel approach is used, estimating a latent class model; these results are included into a micro-macro linked ABM-CGE
Data acquisition: Census Data, Household-Questionnaires: Tace-to-Face Interviews

Simulation Studies of Consumer Demand for Functional Food

Project: Focus
Contact: Christian Henning, Nana Zarnekow and N.N.
Start: 05/2012
End: 09/2014
Finance: gefördert durch BMF
Content: Based on specified integrated ABM-household production function approach the following simulation analyses are conducted: (1) Replication of empirical observed stated and revealed preferences; (2) Simulation of the impact of different network structures on consumers beliefs and demand for functional food; (3) Simulation of the impact specific marketing strategies on consumer demand of functional food; (4) Simulation of the impact of specific political communication strategies on households’ belief formation and demand for function food.
Region: Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
Publications:
Keywords: consumer demand for functional food, social networks and consumer belief formation, marketing strategies and political communication for functional food
Approach: Computer based simulation analyses.
Data acquisition:

Consumer Survey on Functional Food

Project: Focus
Contact: Christian Henning, Nana Zarnekow and N.N.
Start: 04/2012
End: 09/2013
Finance: gefördert durch BMF
Content: Derivation of a household questionnaire including social network questions and social choice experiments.
Region: Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
Publications:
Keywords: KIK, household-survey, social network data
Approach: Based on household questionnaire participating household in KIK-survey (2000 households) will be interviewed, where depending on the specific design a snowball sampling might be applied.
Data acquisition: Own survey

Theoretical Derivation and Programming of Integrated ABM-Household Production Function Approach

Project: Focus
Contact: Christian Henning and Volker Saggau
Start: 10/2010
End: 10/2014
Finance: gefördert durch BMF
Content: The work package 1 aims at the theoretical derivation and programming of the theoretical model. In particular, this includes the derivation of a two-stage household production function approach, which incorporates households’ beliefs regarding consumption technologies. Moreover, this includes the derivation and programming of an agent-based model of belief formation module is derived and programmed in Java. Integrated in this module is a network generation module that allows the generated of different types of networks, e.g. random, small-world or scale-free networks, as well as different network structures, e.g. network clustering, density or centrality.
Region:
Publications:
Keywords: belief formation, consumer demand , household production function approach, social networks
Approach: Based on Henning (1994, 2007) a household production function approach is derived., while based on Henning/Saggau/Hedtrich ( 2010) a belief formation module is derived and programmed in java
Data acquisition:

Elite Networks, Policy Belief Formation and Agricultural Policy Design in Malawi: Application of a CGPE approach

Project: Political Economy Analyses of Agricultural Reforms in Malawi: Application of a CGPE Approach
Contact: Christian Henning and Eva Krampe
Start: 09/2010
End: 09/2011
Finance: IFPRI/CAU
Content: In this project linked ABM-Computable General Political Economy Equilibrium model will be developed and calibrated for Malawi. In particular, the model will incorporate relevant policy goals and instruments as specified in the ASWAp. The CGPE approach integrates a classical CGE model with a political decision-making-model and a political belief formation model. The decision-making model corresponds to a modified Baron-Ferejohn legislative bargaining model as outlined in Henning (2008), while the belief formation model corresponds to an agent-based approach as outlined in Henning et al. (2010). Based on the calibrated CGPE model different simulation scenarios will be run including a scenario corresponding to changes in economic framework conditions and a scenario corresponding to changed policy network structures.
Region: Malawi
Publications:
Keywords: CGPE, political feasibility, agricultural policy reform in Malawi, CAADP
Approach: Calibration of the political decision-making module and the political belief formation module based on empirical data collected within the policy network survey undertaken in 2010.
Data acquisition: Policy network survey